diff --git a/.gitignore b/.gitignore
index 72099d0..0187857 100644
--- a/.gitignore
+++ b/.gitignore
@@ -18,5 +18,7 @@ data/*
results/*
!results/.gitkeep
+data
+
cvttpy
tmp/
diff --git a/data/.gitkeep b/data/.gitkeep
deleted file mode 100644
index 8b13789..0000000
--- a/data/.gitkeep
+++ /dev/null
@@ -1 +0,0 @@
-
diff --git a/notebooks/spbt_day.ipynb b/notebooks/spbt_day.ipynb
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..4026182
--- /dev/null
+++ b/notebooks/spbt_day.ipynb
@@ -0,0 +1,340 @@
+{
+ "cells": [
+ {
+ "cell_type": "markdown",
+ "id": "single-day-title",
+ "metadata": {},
+ "source": [
+ "# Single-Day Backtest Result Analysis\n",
+ "\n",
+ "This notebook analyzes the result of one single-day backtest stored in a SQLite database. Development is staged; Step 1 only selects the database file that later sections will read.\n",
+ "\n",
+ "Input assumptions for Step 1:\n",
+ "\n",
+ "- The default data directory is `data/` at the repository root.\n",
+ "- SQLite result files usually use `.db`, `.sqlite`, or `.sqlite3` extensions.\n",
+ "- The directory can be changed interactively if the result file lives elsewhere."
+ ]
+ },
+ {
+ "cell_type": "code",
+ "execution_count": null,
+ "id": "imports-and-paths",
+ "metadata": {},
+ "outputs": [],
+ "source": [
+ "from html import escape\n",
+ "from pathlib import Path\n",
+ "import sqlite3\n",
+ "import sys\n",
+ "from urllib.parse import quote\n",
+ "\n",
+ "from IPython.display import display\n",
+ "import ipywidgets as widgets\n",
+ "\n",
+ "\n",
+ "def find_repo_root(start: Path | None = None) -> Path:\n",
+ " \"\"\"Return the nearest parent containing repository-level files.\"\"\"\n",
+ " current = (start or Path.cwd()).resolve()\n",
+ " for candidate in (current, *current.parents):\n",
+ " if (candidate / \"requirements.txt\").exists() and (candidate / \"notebooks\").is_dir():\n",
+ " return candidate\n",
+ " return current\n",
+ "\n",
+ "\n",
+ "REPO_ROOT = find_repo_root()\n",
+ "if str(REPO_ROOT) not in sys.path:\n",
+ " sys.path.insert(0, str(REPO_ROOT))\n",
+ "\n",
+ "from scripts.spbt_day import (\n",
+ " calculate_ranked_pairs_theo_ret,\n",
+ " load_selector_pair_rankings,\n",
+ " load_trading_instructions,\n",
+ ")\n",
+ "\n",
+ "DEFAULT_DATA_DIR = REPO_ROOT / \"data\"\n",
+ "SQLITE_EXTENSIONS = {\".db\", \".sqlite\", \".sqlite3\"}\n",
+ "\n",
+ "selected_db_path: Path | None = None\n",
+ "\n",
+ "REPO_ROOT, DEFAULT_DATA_DIR"
+ ]
+ },
+ {
+ "cell_type": "code",
+ "execution_count": null,
+ "id": "database-file-selector",
+ "metadata": {},
+ "outputs": [],
+ "source": [
+ "directory_input = widgets.Text(\n",
+ " value=str(DEFAULT_DATA_DIR),\n",
+ " description=\"Directory\",\n",
+ " continuous_update=False,\n",
+ " layout=widgets.Layout(width=\"100%\"),\n",
+ " style={\"description_width\": \"90px\"},\n",
+ ")\n",
+ "\n",
+ "show_all_files = widgets.Checkbox(\n",
+ " value=False,\n",
+ " description=\"Show all files\",\n",
+ " indent=False,\n",
+ ")\n",
+ "\n",
+ "refresh_button = widgets.Button(\n",
+ " description=\"Refresh\",\n",
+ " icon=\"refresh\",\n",
+ " button_style=\"\",\n",
+ " tooltip=\"Rescan the selected directory\",\n",
+ ")\n",
+ "\n",
+ "file_select = widgets.Select(\n",
+ " options=[],\n",
+ " rows=12,\n",
+ " description=\"Files\",\n",
+ " layout=widgets.Layout(width=\"100%\"),\n",
+ " style={\"description_width\": \"90px\"},\n",
+ ")\n",
+ "\n",
+ "selected_path_display = widgets.HTML(value=\"Selected database: none\")\n",
+ "status_output = widgets.Output()\n",
+ "\n",
+ "\n",
+ "def normalize_directory(raw_path: str) -> Path:\n",
+ " path = Path(raw_path).expanduser()\n",
+ " if not path.is_absolute():\n",
+ " path = REPO_ROOT / path\n",
+ " return path.resolve()\n",
+ "\n",
+ "\n",
+ "def list_candidate_files(directory: Path, show_all: bool = False) -> list[Path]:\n",
+ " def result_file_sort_key(path: Path) -> tuple[int, str]:\n",
+ " name = path.name.lower()\n",
+ " if \".spbt_results.\" in name:\n",
+ " priority = 0\n",
+ " elif \"selector\" in name and \"results\" in name:\n",
+ " priority = 1\n",
+ " elif \"results\" in name:\n",
+ " priority = 2\n",
+ " else:\n",
+ " priority = 3\n",
+ " return priority, name\n",
+ "\n",
+ " if show_all:\n",
+ " return sorted(\n",
+ " (path for path in directory.iterdir() if path.is_file()),\n",
+ " key=result_file_sort_key,\n",
+ " )\n",
+ " return sorted(\n",
+ " (\n",
+ " path\n",
+ " for path in directory.iterdir()\n",
+ " if path.is_file() and path.suffix.lower() in SQLITE_EXTENSIONS\n",
+ " ),\n",
+ " key=result_file_sort_key,\n",
+ " )\n",
+ "\n",
+ "\n",
+ "def set_selected_database(path_value: str | None) -> None:\n",
+ " global selected_db_path\n",
+ " selected_db_path = Path(path_value).resolve() if path_value else None\n",
+ " label = str(selected_db_path) if selected_db_path else \"none\"\n",
+ " selected_path_display.value = f\"Selected database: {escape(label)}\"\n",
+ "\n",
+ "\n",
+ "def refresh_file_list(*_args) -> None:\n",
+ " directory = normalize_directory(directory_input.value)\n",
+ " with status_output:\n",
+ " status_output.clear_output()\n",
+ " if not directory.exists():\n",
+ " file_select.options = []\n",
+ " set_selected_database(None)\n",
+ " print(f\"Directory does not exist: {directory}\")\n",
+ " return\n",
+ " if not directory.is_dir():\n",
+ " file_select.options = []\n",
+ " set_selected_database(None)\n",
+ " print(f\"Path is not a directory: {directory}\")\n",
+ " return\n",
+ "\n",
+ " candidates = list_candidate_files(directory, show_all=show_all_files.value)\n",
+ " candidate_values = [str(path) for path in candidates]\n",
+ " previous_value = file_select.value\n",
+ " file_select.options = [(path.name, str(path)) for path in candidates]\n",
+ " if candidates:\n",
+ " file_select.value = previous_value if previous_value in candidate_values else candidate_values[0]\n",
+ " set_selected_database(file_select.value)\n",
+ " else:\n",
+ " set_selected_database(None)\n",
+ "\n",
+ " if candidates:\n",
+ " print(f\"Found {len(candidates)} file(s) in {directory}\")\n",
+ " else:\n",
+ " suffixes = \", \".join(sorted(SQLITE_EXTENSIONS))\n",
+ " print(f\"No SQLite files ({suffixes}) found in {directory}\")\n",
+ "\n",
+ "\n",
+ "def on_file_selected(change) -> None:\n",
+ " if change[\"name\"] == \"value\":\n",
+ " set_selected_database(change[\"new\"])\n",
+ "\n",
+ "\n",
+ "refresh_button.on_click(refresh_file_list)\n",
+ "show_all_files.observe(refresh_file_list, names=\"value\")\n",
+ "directory_input.observe(refresh_file_list, names=\"value\")\n",
+ "file_select.observe(on_file_selected, names=\"value\")\n",
+ "\n",
+ "display(\n",
+ " widgets.VBox(\n",
+ " [\n",
+ " widgets.HBox([directory_input, refresh_button]),\n",
+ " show_all_files,\n",
+ " file_select,\n",
+ " selected_path_display,\n",
+ " status_output,\n",
+ " ]\n",
+ " )\n",
+ ")\n",
+ "\n",
+ "refresh_file_list()"
+ ]
+ },
+ {
+ "cell_type": "code",
+ "execution_count": null,
+ "id": "selected-database-helpers",
+ "metadata": {},
+ "outputs": [],
+ "source": [
+ "def selected_database_path() -> Path:\n",
+ " \"\"\"Return the interactively selected SQLite result path.\"\"\"\n",
+ " if selected_db_path is None:\n",
+ " raise ValueError(\"Choose a SQLite result file before continuing.\")\n",
+ " if not selected_db_path.exists():\n",
+ " raise FileNotFoundError(f\"Selected database does not exist: {selected_db_path}\")\n",
+ " if not selected_db_path.is_file():\n",
+ " raise ValueError(f\"Selected database path is not a file: {selected_db_path}\")\n",
+ " return selected_db_path\n",
+ "\n",
+ "\n",
+ "def connect_selected_database() -> sqlite3.Connection:\n",
+ " \"\"\"Open a read-only SQLite connection to the selected result database.\"\"\"\n",
+ " db_path = selected_database_path()\n",
+ " uri = f\"file:{quote(db_path.as_posix(), safe='/:')}?mode=ro\"\n",
+ " return sqlite3.connect(uri, uri=True)\n",
+ "\n",
+ "\n",
+ "# Later notebook sections can call selected_database_path() or connect_selected_database()."
+ ]
+ },
+ {
+ "cell_type": "markdown",
+ "id": "selector-pair-rankings-context",
+ "metadata": {},
+ "source": [
+ "## Selector Pair Rankings\n",
+ "\n",
+ "Load `selector_pairs.pair_name` and `selector_pairs.mr_score` from the selected SQLite database. The JSON field `mr_score.final` is parsed as a numeric score and ranked descending with dense ranks, so tied scores share the same rank and the next distinct score gets the next rank.\n",
+ "\n",
+ "Rows with missing, malformed, non-numeric, or non-finite `mr_score.final` values are preserved, sorted after ranked rows, and marked in `mr_score_parse_status`."
+ ]
+ },
+ {
+ "cell_type": "code",
+ "execution_count": null,
+ "id": "load-selector-pair-rankings",
+ "metadata": {},
+ "outputs": [],
+ "source": [
+ "conn = connect_selected_database()\n",
+ "try:\n",
+ " selector_pair_rankings = load_selector_pair_rankings(conn)\n",
+ "finally:\n",
+ " conn.close()\n",
+ "\n",
+ "selector_pair_rankings"
+ ]
+ },
+ {
+ "cell_type": "code",
+ "execution_count": null,
+ "id": "selector-pair-ranking-summary",
+ "metadata": {},
+ "outputs": [],
+ "source": [
+ "selector_pair_ranking_summary = (\n",
+ " selector_pair_rankings[\"mr_score_parse_status\"]\n",
+ " .value_counts(dropna=False)\n",
+ " .rename_axis(\"mr_score_parse_status\")\n",
+ " .reset_index(name=\"row_count\")\n",
+ ")\n",
+ "\n",
+ "selector_pair_ranking_summary"
+ ]
+ },
+ {
+ "cell_type": "markdown",
+ "id": "theoretical-return-context",
+ "metadata": {},
+ "source": [
+ "## Theoretical Return by Pair\n",
+ "\n",
+ "Load `trading_instructions` and calculate theoretical return for each ranked pair. Each pair starts from a fixed `$10,000` theoretical USD base. `TARGET` opens or replaces the current theoretical position using each asset's `strength` and `reference_price`; `CLOSE` liquidates the open position at the close row's `reference_price`; `HOLD` is ignored.\n",
+ "\n",
+ "`realized_pnl` and `unrealized_pnl` are percentage returns relative to `$10,000`, sorted by ascending MR rank."
+ ]
+ },
+ {
+ "cell_type": "code",
+ "execution_count": null,
+ "id": "load-trading-instructions",
+ "metadata": {},
+ "outputs": [],
+ "source": [
+ "conn = connect_selected_database()\n",
+ "try:\n",
+ " trading_instructions = load_trading_instructions(conn)\n",
+ "finally:\n",
+ " conn.close()\n",
+ "\n",
+ "trading_instructions"
+ ]
+ },
+ {
+ "cell_type": "code",
+ "execution_count": null,
+ "id": "calculate-pair-theoretical-returns",
+ "metadata": {},
+ "outputs": [],
+ "source": [
+ "pair_theo_ret = calculate_ranked_pairs_theo_ret(\n",
+ " selector_pair_rankings,\n",
+ " trading_instructions,\n",
+ ")\n",
+ "\n",
+ "pair_theo_ret"
+ ]
+ }
+ ],
+ "metadata": {
+ "kernelspec": {
+ "display_name": "python3.12-venv (3.12.13.final.0)",
+ "language": "python",
+ "name": "python3"
+ },
+ "language_info": {
+ "codemirror_mode": {
+ "name": "ipython",
+ "version": 3
+ },
+ "file_extension": ".py",
+ "mimetype": "text/x-python",
+ "name": "python",
+ "nbconvert_exporter": "python",
+ "pygments_lexer": "ipython3",
+ "version": "3.12.13"
+ }
+ },
+ "nbformat": 4,
+ "nbformat_minor": 5
+}
diff --git a/requirements.txt b/requirements.txt
index 1870b2c..d19d9d7 100644
--- a/requirements.txt
+++ b/requirements.txt
@@ -1,5 +1,6 @@
# Interactive analysis
ipykernel>=6.29,<7
+ipywidgets>=8.1,<9
jupyter>=1.1,<2
nbformat>=5.10,<6
pandas>=2.2,<3
diff --git a/scripts/spbt_day.py b/scripts/spbt_day.py
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..bd5082e
--- /dev/null
+++ b/scripts/spbt_day.py
@@ -0,0 +1,325 @@
+"""Helpers for single-day SPBT result analysis notebooks."""
+
+from __future__ import annotations
+
+import json
+import math
+import sqlite3
+from typing import Any
+
+import pandas as pd
+
+
+SELECTOR_PAIRS_COLUMNS = ("pair_name", "mr_score")
+TRADING_INSTRUCTIONS_COLUMNS = ("time_ns", "tstamp", "data")
+INITIAL_THEO_CAPITAL_USD = 10_000.0
+
+
+def parse_mr_score_final(raw_score: Any) -> tuple[float | None, str]:
+ """Parse the JSON mr_score.final value, preserving parse status."""
+ if raw_score is None:
+ return None, "missing_mr_score"
+
+ try:
+ parsed = json.loads(raw_score)
+ except (TypeError, json.JSONDecodeError):
+ return None, "malformed_json"
+
+ if not isinstance(parsed, dict):
+ return None, "unexpected_json_type"
+
+ if "final" not in parsed or parsed["final"] in (None, ""):
+ return None, "missing_final"
+
+ final_value = parsed["final"]
+ if isinstance(final_value, bool):
+ return None, "non_numeric_final"
+
+ try:
+ numeric_final = float(final_value)
+ except (TypeError, ValueError):
+ return None, "non_numeric_final"
+
+ if not math.isfinite(numeric_final):
+ return None, "non_finite_final"
+
+ return numeric_final, "ok"
+
+
+def validate_selector_pairs_table(conn: sqlite3.Connection) -> None:
+ """Raise an actionable error if selector_pairs lacks required columns."""
+ table_info = conn.execute("PRAGMA table_info(selector_pairs)").fetchall()
+ if not table_info:
+ raise ValueError("SQLite database is missing required table: selector_pairs")
+
+ existing_columns = {row[1] for row in table_info}
+ missing_columns = set(SELECTOR_PAIRS_COLUMNS) - existing_columns
+ if missing_columns:
+ missing = ", ".join(sorted(missing_columns))
+ raise ValueError(f"selector_pairs is missing required column(s): {missing}")
+
+
+def rank_selector_pairs(selector_pairs: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
+ """Rank selector pairs by dense descending mr_score.final."""
+ missing_columns = set(SELECTOR_PAIRS_COLUMNS) - set(selector_pairs.columns)
+ if missing_columns:
+ missing = ", ".join(sorted(missing_columns))
+ raise ValueError(f"selector_pairs dataframe is missing column(s): {missing}")
+
+ ranked = selector_pairs.loc[:, list(SELECTOR_PAIRS_COLUMNS)].copy()
+ parsed_scores = ranked["mr_score"].map(parse_mr_score_final)
+ ranked["mr_score_final"] = [score for score, _status in parsed_scores]
+ ranked["mr_score_parse_status"] = [status for _score, status in parsed_scores]
+
+ ranked["pair_rank"] = (
+ ranked["mr_score_final"].rank(method="dense", ascending=False).astype("Int64")
+ )
+
+ return (
+ ranked.loc[
+ :,
+ [
+ "pair_rank",
+ "pair_name",
+ "mr_score_final",
+ "mr_score_parse_status",
+ "mr_score",
+ ],
+ ]
+ .sort_values(["pair_rank", "pair_name"], na_position="last", kind="mergesort")
+ .reset_index(drop=True)
+ )
+
+
+def load_selector_pair_rankings(conn: sqlite3.Connection) -> pd.DataFrame:
+ """Load selector_pairs from SQLite and return dense-ranked pair rows."""
+ validate_selector_pairs_table(conn)
+ selector_pairs = pd.read_sql_query(
+ "SELECT pair_name, mr_score FROM selector_pairs",
+ conn,
+ )
+ return rank_selector_pairs(selector_pairs)
+
+
+def validate_trading_instructions_table(conn: sqlite3.Connection) -> None:
+ """Raise an actionable error if trading_instructions lacks required columns."""
+ table_info = conn.execute("PRAGMA table_info(trading_instructions)").fetchall()
+ if not table_info:
+ raise ValueError("SQLite database is missing required table: trading_instructions")
+
+ existing_columns = {row[1] for row in table_info}
+ missing_columns = set(TRADING_INSTRUCTIONS_COLUMNS) - existing_columns
+ if missing_columns:
+ missing = ", ".join(sorted(missing_columns))
+ raise ValueError(
+ f"trading_instructions is missing required column(s): {missing}"
+ )
+
+
+def load_trading_instructions(conn: sqlite3.Connection) -> pd.DataFrame:
+ """Load the full trading_instructions table ordered by timestamp."""
+ validate_trading_instructions_table(conn)
+ return pd.read_sql_query(
+ "SELECT * FROM trading_instructions ORDER BY time_ns, rowid",
+ conn,
+ )
+
+
+def pair_assets_and_quote(pair_name: str) -> tuple[tuple[str, ...], str]:
+ """Parse a pair name like ADA:USD-BTC:USD into assets and quote asset."""
+ pair_legs = pair_name.split("-")
+ if len(pair_legs) != 2:
+ raise ValueError(f"Pair name must contain exactly two legs: {pair_name}")
+
+ assets: list[str] = []
+ quote_assets: list[str] = []
+ for leg in pair_legs:
+ parts = leg.split(":")
+ if len(parts) != 2 or not all(parts):
+ raise ValueError(f"Pair leg must use ASSET:QUOTE form: {leg}")
+ assets.append(parts[0])
+ quote_assets.append(parts[1])
+
+ distinct_quote_assets = set(quote_assets)
+ if len(distinct_quote_assets) != 1:
+ raise ValueError(f"Pair legs must use the same quote asset: {pair_name}")
+
+ return tuple(assets), quote_assets[0]
+
+
+def _parse_instruction_data(raw_data: Any) -> dict[str, Any] | None:
+ if raw_data is None:
+ return None
+
+ try:
+ parsed = json.loads(raw_data)
+ except (TypeError, json.JSONDecodeError):
+ return None
+
+ return parsed if isinstance(parsed, dict) else None
+
+
+def _finite_float(value: Any, field_name: str, pair_name: str) -> float:
+ if isinstance(value, bool):
+ raise ValueError(f"{field_name} for {pair_name} must be numeric, got bool")
+
+ try:
+ numeric_value = float(value)
+ except (TypeError, ValueError) as exc:
+ raise ValueError(
+ f"{field_name} for {pair_name} must be numeric, got {value!r}"
+ ) from exc
+
+ if not math.isfinite(numeric_value):
+ raise ValueError(f"{field_name} for {pair_name} must be finite")
+
+ return numeric_value
+
+
+def _reference_price(asset_data: Any, asset: str, pair_name: str) -> float:
+ if not isinstance(asset_data, dict):
+ raise ValueError(f"Asset data for {asset} in {pair_name} must be a JSON object")
+
+ reference_price = _finite_float(
+ asset_data.get("reference_price"),
+ f"reference_price[{asset}]",
+ pair_name,
+ )
+ if reference_price <= 0:
+ raise ValueError(f"reference_price[{asset}] for {pair_name} must be positive")
+ return reference_price
+
+
+def _strength(asset_data: Any, asset: str, pair_name: str) -> float:
+ if not isinstance(asset_data, dict):
+ raise ValueError(f"Asset data for {asset} in {pair_name} must be a JSON object")
+ return _finite_float(asset_data.get("strength"), f"strength[{asset}]", pair_name)
+
+
+def _sort_trading_instructions(trd_inst_df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
+ sort_columns = [column for column in ("time_ns", "tstamp") if column in trd_inst_df]
+ ordered = trd_inst_df.copy()
+ ordered["_input_order"] = range(len(ordered))
+ return ordered.sort_values(
+ [*sort_columns, "_input_order"],
+ kind="mergesort",
+ ).drop(columns="_input_order")
+
+
+def _matching_pair_instructions(
+ pair_name: str,
+ trd_inst_df: pd.DataFrame,
+) -> list[dict[str, Any]]:
+ pair_assets, quote_asset = pair_assets_and_quote(pair_name)
+ pair_asset_set = set(pair_assets)
+
+ if "data" not in trd_inst_df.columns:
+ raise ValueError("trading instructions dataframe is missing column: data")
+
+ selected_instructions: list[dict[str, Any]] = []
+ for raw_data in _sort_trading_instructions(trd_inst_df)["data"]:
+ parsed = _parse_instruction_data(raw_data)
+ if parsed is None or parsed.get("quote_asset") != quote_asset:
+ continue
+
+ assets = parsed.get("assets")
+ if not isinstance(assets, dict) or set(assets) != pair_asset_set:
+ continue
+
+ selected_instructions.append(parsed)
+
+ return selected_instructions
+
+
+def calculate_pair_theo_ret(
+ pair_name: str,
+ trd_inst_df: pd.DataFrame,
+) -> dict[str, float | str]:
+ """Calculate realized and unrealized TheoRet percentages for one pair.
+
+ Repeated TARGET actions replace the previous open theoretical position.
+ CLOSE actions liquidate the currently open position. HOLD and unknown
+ actions are ignored. Returned PnL values are percentages of the fixed
+ 10,000 USD theoretical capital base.
+ """
+ pair_assets, _quote_asset = pair_assets_and_quote(pair_name)
+ realized_pnl_usd = 0.0
+ open_position: dict[str, dict[str, float]] | None = None
+
+ for instruction in _matching_pair_instructions(pair_name, trd_inst_df):
+ action = instruction.get("action")
+ assets_data = instruction["assets"]
+
+ if action == "TARGET":
+ open_position = {}
+ for asset in pair_assets:
+ asset_data = assets_data[asset]
+ quantity = INITIAL_THEO_CAPITAL_USD * _strength(
+ asset_data,
+ asset,
+ pair_name,
+ )
+ entry_price = _reference_price(asset_data, asset, pair_name)
+ open_position[asset] = {
+ "quantity": quantity,
+ "entry_value": quantity * entry_price,
+ "latest_value": quantity * entry_price,
+ }
+ elif action == "CLOSE":
+ if open_position is None:
+ continue
+
+ for asset in pair_assets:
+ asset_data = assets_data[asset]
+ close_value = (
+ open_position[asset]["quantity"]
+ * _reference_price(asset_data, asset, pair_name)
+ )
+ realized_pnl_usd += close_value - open_position[asset]["entry_value"]
+ open_position = None
+
+ unrealized_pnl_usd = 0.0
+ if open_position is not None:
+ unrealized_pnl_usd = sum(
+ position["latest_value"] - position["entry_value"]
+ for position in open_position.values()
+ )
+
+ return {
+ "pair_name": pair_name,
+ "realized_pnl": realized_pnl_usd / INITIAL_THEO_CAPITAL_USD * 100.0,
+ "unrealized_pnl": unrealized_pnl_usd / INITIAL_THEO_CAPITAL_USD * 100.0,
+ }
+
+
+def calculate_ranked_pairs_theo_ret(
+ selector_pair_rankings: pd.DataFrame,
+ trd_inst_df: pd.DataFrame,
+) -> pd.DataFrame:
+ """Calculate TheoRet percentages for every ranked selector pair."""
+ required_columns = {"pair_name", "pair_rank"}
+ missing_columns = required_columns - set(selector_pair_rankings.columns)
+ if missing_columns:
+ missing = ", ".join(sorted(missing_columns))
+ raise ValueError(f"selector pair rankings missing column(s): {missing}")
+
+ records = []
+ for row in selector_pair_rankings.itertuples(index=False):
+ pair_result = calculate_pair_theo_ret(row.pair_name, trd_inst_df)
+ records.append(
+ {
+ "pair_name": pair_result["pair_name"],
+ "mr_ranking": row.pair_rank,
+ "realized_pnl": pair_result["realized_pnl"],
+ "unrealized_pnl": pair_result["unrealized_pnl"],
+ }
+ )
+
+ return (
+ pd.DataFrame.from_records(
+ records,
+ columns=["pair_name", "mr_ranking", "realized_pnl", "unrealized_pnl"],
+ )
+ .sort_values(["mr_ranking", "pair_name"], na_position="last", kind="mergesort")
+ .reset_index(drop=True)
+ )
diff --git a/tests/test_spbt_day.py b/tests/test_spbt_day.py
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..84a28c0
--- /dev/null
+++ b/tests/test_spbt_day.py
@@ -0,0 +1,199 @@
+import sqlite3
+
+import pandas as pd
+import pytest
+
+from scripts.spbt_day import (
+ calculate_pair_theo_ret,
+ calculate_ranked_pairs_theo_ret,
+ load_selector_pair_rankings,
+ load_trading_instructions,
+ pair_assets_and_quote,
+ parse_mr_score_final,
+ rank_selector_pairs,
+)
+
+
+@pytest.mark.parametrize(
+ ("raw_score", "expected_score", "expected_status"),
+ [
+ ('{"final":"0.75"}', 0.75, "ok"),
+ ('{"final":0.5}', 0.5, "ok"),
+ (None, None, "missing_mr_score"),
+ ("not-json", None, "malformed_json"),
+ ("[]", None, "unexpected_json_type"),
+ ('{"other": "0.1"}', None, "missing_final"),
+ ('{"final": ""}', None, "missing_final"),
+ ('{"final": true}', None, "non_numeric_final"),
+ ('{"final": "abc"}', None, "non_numeric_final"),
+ ('{"final": "NaN"}', None, "non_finite_final"),
+ ],
+)
+def test_parse_mr_score_final(raw_score, expected_score, expected_status):
+ assert parse_mr_score_final(raw_score) == (expected_score, expected_status)
+
+
+def test_rank_selector_pairs_uses_dense_descending_rank_and_preserves_bad_rows():
+ selector_pairs = pd.DataFrame(
+ {
+ "pair_name": ["PAIR_C", "PAIR_A", "PAIR_B", "PAIR_BAD"],
+ "mr_score": [
+ '{"final":"0.7"}',
+ '{"final":"0.9"}',
+ '{"final":"0.7"}',
+ '{"final":"bad"}',
+ ],
+ }
+ )
+
+ ranked = rank_selector_pairs(selector_pairs)
+
+ assert ranked["pair_name"].tolist() == ["PAIR_A", "PAIR_B", "PAIR_C", "PAIR_BAD"]
+ assert ranked["pair_rank"].iloc[:3].tolist() == [1, 2, 2]
+ assert pd.isna(ranked["pair_rank"].iloc[3])
+ assert ranked["mr_score_parse_status"].tolist() == [
+ "ok",
+ "ok",
+ "ok",
+ "non_numeric_final",
+ ]
+
+
+def test_load_selector_pair_rankings_validates_required_table():
+ conn = sqlite3.connect(":memory:")
+
+ with pytest.raises(ValueError, match="missing required table: selector_pairs"):
+ load_selector_pair_rankings(conn)
+
+
+def test_load_selector_pair_rankings_reads_sqlite_table():
+ conn = sqlite3.connect(":memory:")
+ conn.execute("CREATE TABLE selector_pairs (pair_name TEXT, mr_score TEXT)")
+ conn.executemany(
+ "INSERT INTO selector_pairs (pair_name, mr_score) VALUES (?, ?)",
+ [
+ ("PAIR_A", '{"final":"0.1"}'),
+ ("PAIR_B", '{"final":"0.2"}'),
+ ],
+ )
+
+ ranked = load_selector_pair_rankings(conn)
+
+ assert ranked[["pair_rank", "pair_name", "mr_score_final"]].to_dict("records") == [
+ {"pair_rank": 1, "pair_name": "PAIR_B", "mr_score_final": 0.2},
+ {"pair_rank": 2, "pair_name": "PAIR_A", "mr_score_final": 0.1},
+ ]
+
+
+def test_pair_assets_and_quote_parses_two_leg_pair():
+ assert pair_assets_and_quote("ADA:USD-BTC:USD") == (("ADA", "BTC"), "USD")
+
+
+def test_calculate_pair_theo_ret_replaces_targets_and_closes_open_position():
+ trd_inst_df = pd.DataFrame(
+ {
+ "time_ns": [1, 2, 3],
+ "tstamp": ["t1", "t2", "t3"],
+ "data": [
+ (
+ '{"action":"TARGET","quote_asset":"USD","assets":'
+ '{"AAA":{"reference_price":"100","strength":"0.01"},'
+ '"BBB":{"reference_price":"50","strength":"-0.02"}}}'
+ ),
+ (
+ '{"action":"TARGET","quote_asset":"USD","assets":'
+ '{"AAA":{"reference_price":"120","strength":"0.01"},'
+ '"BBB":{"reference_price":"60","strength":"-0.02"}}}'
+ ),
+ (
+ '{"action":"CLOSE","quote_asset":"USD","assets":'
+ '{"AAA":{"reference_price":"132"},'
+ '"BBB":{"reference_price":"54"}}}'
+ ),
+ ],
+ }
+ )
+
+ theo_ret = calculate_pair_theo_ret("AAA:USD-BBB:USD", trd_inst_df)
+
+ assert theo_ret == {
+ "pair_name": "AAA:USD-BBB:USD",
+ "realized_pnl": pytest.approx(24.0),
+ "unrealized_pnl": 0.0,
+ }
+
+
+def test_calculate_pair_theo_ret_ignores_unmatched_quote_and_close_without_target():
+ trd_inst_df = pd.DataFrame(
+ {
+ "time_ns": [1, 2],
+ "data": [
+ (
+ '{"action":"TARGET","quote_asset":"EUR","assets":'
+ '{"AAA":{"reference_price":"100","strength":"0.01"},'
+ '"BBB":{"reference_price":"50","strength":"-0.02"}}}'
+ ),
+ (
+ '{"action":"CLOSE","quote_asset":"USD","assets":'
+ '{"AAA":{"reference_price":"110"},'
+ '"BBB":{"reference_price":"45"}}}'
+ ),
+ ],
+ }
+ )
+
+ assert calculate_pair_theo_ret("AAA:USD-BBB:USD", trd_inst_df) == {
+ "pair_name": "AAA:USD-BBB:USD",
+ "realized_pnl": 0.0,
+ "unrealized_pnl": 0.0,
+ }
+
+
+def test_calculate_ranked_pairs_theo_ret_preserves_pairs_without_instructions():
+ rankings = pd.DataFrame(
+ {
+ "pair_name": ["AAA:USD-BBB:USD", "CCC:USD-DDD:USD"],
+ "pair_rank": pd.Series([1, 2], dtype="Int64"),
+ }
+ )
+ trd_inst_df = pd.DataFrame(
+ {
+ "time_ns": [1, 2],
+ "data": [
+ (
+ '{"action":"TARGET","quote_asset":"USD","assets":'
+ '{"AAA":{"reference_price":"100","strength":"0.01"},'
+ '"BBB":{"reference_price":"50","strength":"-0.02"}}}'
+ ),
+ (
+ '{"action":"CLOSE","quote_asset":"USD","assets":'
+ '{"AAA":{"reference_price":"110"},'
+ '"BBB":{"reference_price":"45"}}}'
+ ),
+ ],
+ }
+ )
+
+ result = calculate_ranked_pairs_theo_ret(rankings, trd_inst_df)
+
+ assert result.to_dict("records") == [
+ {
+ "pair_name": "AAA:USD-BBB:USD",
+ "mr_ranking": 1,
+ "realized_pnl": 20.0,
+ "unrealized_pnl": 0.0,
+ },
+ {
+ "pair_name": "CCC:USD-DDD:USD",
+ "mr_ranking": 2,
+ "realized_pnl": 0.0,
+ "unrealized_pnl": 0.0,
+ },
+ ]
+
+
+def test_load_trading_instructions_validates_required_table():
+ conn = sqlite3.connect(":memory:")
+
+ with pytest.raises(ValueError, match="missing required table: trading_instructions"):
+ load_trading_instructions(conn)