refactoring the code for pairs, models, strategy
This commit is contained in:
@@ -0,0 +1,60 @@
|
||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
||||
|
||||
from abc import ABC, abstractmethod
|
||||
from dataclasses import dataclass
|
||||
from enum import Enum
|
||||
from typing import Any, Dict, Optional, cast, Generator, List
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
@dataclass
|
||||
class DataParams:
|
||||
training_size: int
|
||||
training_start_index: int
|
||||
|
||||
class ModelDataPolicy(ABC):
|
||||
config_: Dict[str, Any]
|
||||
current_data_params_: DataParams
|
||||
|
||||
def __init__(self, config: Dict[str, Any]):
|
||||
self.config_ = config
|
||||
self.current_data_params_ = DataParams(
|
||||
training_size=config.get("training_size", 120),
|
||||
training_start_index=0,
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
@abstractmethod
|
||||
def advance(self) -> DataParams:
|
||||
...
|
||||
|
||||
@staticmethod
|
||||
def create(config: Dict[str, Any]) -> ModelDataPolicy:
|
||||
import importlib
|
||||
|
||||
model_data_policy_class_name = config.get("model_data_policy_class", None)
|
||||
assert model_data_policy_class_name is not None
|
||||
module_name, class_name = model_data_policy_class_name.rsplit(".", 1)
|
||||
module = importlib.import_module(module_name)
|
||||
model_training_data_policy_object = getattr(module, class_name)(config=config)
|
||||
return cast(ModelDataPolicy, model_training_data_policy_object)
|
||||
|
||||
class RollingWindowDataPolicy(ModelDataPolicy):
|
||||
def __init__(self, config: Dict[str, Any]):
|
||||
super().__init__(config)
|
||||
self.count_ = 1
|
||||
|
||||
def advance(self) -> DataParams:
|
||||
self.current_data_params_.training_start_index += 1
|
||||
print(self.count_, end='\r')
|
||||
self.count_ += 1
|
||||
return self.current_data_params_
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
class ExpandingWindowDataPolicy(ModelDataPolicy):
|
||||
def __init__(self, config: Dict[str, Any]):
|
||||
super().__init__(config)
|
||||
|
||||
def advance(self) -> DataParams:
|
||||
self.current_data_params_.training_size += 1
|
||||
return self.current_data_params_
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,53 @@
|
||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
||||
from typing import Optional
|
||||
|
||||
import pandas as pd
|
||||
import statsmodels.api as sm
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
from pt_strategy.pt_model import PairsTradingModel, Prediction
|
||||
from pt_strategy.trading_pair import TradingPair
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
class ZScoreOLSModel(PairsTradingModel):
|
||||
zscore_model_: Optional[sm.regression.linear_model.RegressionResultsWrapper]
|
||||
pair_predict_result_: Optional[pd.DataFrame]
|
||||
zscore_df_: Optional[pd.DataFrame]
|
||||
|
||||
def _fit_zscore(self, pair: TradingPair) -> pd.DataFrame:
|
||||
assert self.training_df_ is not None
|
||||
symbol_a_px_series = self.training_df_[pair.colnames()].iloc[:, 0].astype(float)
|
||||
symbol_b_px_series = self.training_df_[pair.colnames()].iloc[:, 1].astype(float)
|
||||
|
||||
symbol_a_px_series, symbol_b_px_series = symbol_a_px_series.align(
|
||||
symbol_b_px_series, axis=0
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
X = sm.add_constant(symbol_b_px_series)
|
||||
self.zscore_model_ = sm.OLS(symbol_a_px_series, X).fit()
|
||||
assert self.zscore_model_ is not None
|
||||
hedge_ratio = self.zscore_model_.params.iloc[1]
|
||||
|
||||
spread = symbol_a_px_series - hedge_ratio * symbol_b_px_series
|
||||
return pd.DataFrame((spread - spread.mean()) / spread.std())
|
||||
|
||||
def predict(self, pair: TradingPair) -> Prediction:
|
||||
self.training_df_ = pair.market_data_.copy()
|
||||
|
||||
zscore_df = self._fit_zscore(pair=pair)
|
||||
|
||||
assert zscore_df is not None
|
||||
# zscore is both disequilibrium and scaled_disequilibrium
|
||||
self.training_df_["dis-equilibrium"] = zscore_df[0]
|
||||
self.training_df_["scaled_dis-equilibrium"] = zscore_df[0]
|
||||
|
||||
assert zscore_df is not None
|
||||
return Prediction(
|
||||
tstamp_=pair.market_data_.index[-1],
|
||||
disequilibrium_=self.training_df_["dis-equilibrium"].iloc[-1],
|
||||
scaled_disequilibrium_=self.training_df_["scaled_dis-equilibrium"].iloc[-1],
|
||||
pair_=pair,
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,185 @@
|
||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
||||
|
||||
from abc import ABC, abstractmethod
|
||||
from typing import Any, Dict, List, Type
|
||||
|
||||
import pandas as pd
|
||||
|
||||
from tools.data_loader import load_market_data
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
class PtMarketData(ABC):
|
||||
config_: Dict[str, Any]
|
||||
origin_mkt_data_df_: pd.DataFrame
|
||||
market_data_df_: pd.DataFrame
|
||||
|
||||
def __init__(self, config: Dict[str, Any]):
|
||||
self.config_ = config
|
||||
self.origin_mkt_data_df_ = pd.DataFrame()
|
||||
|
||||
@abstractmethod
|
||||
def load(self) -> None:
|
||||
...
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
@abstractmethod
|
||||
def has_next(self) -> bool:
|
||||
...
|
||||
|
||||
@abstractmethod
|
||||
def get_next(self) -> pd.Series:
|
||||
...
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
@staticmethod
|
||||
def create(config: Dict[str, Any], md_class: Type[PtMarketData]) -> PtMarketData:
|
||||
return md_class(config)
|
||||
|
||||
class ResearchMarketData(PtMarketData):
|
||||
config_: Dict[str, Any]
|
||||
current_index_: int
|
||||
|
||||
is_execution_price_: bool
|
||||
|
||||
def __init__(self, config: Dict[str, Any]):
|
||||
super().__init__(config)
|
||||
self.current_index_ = 0
|
||||
self.is_execution_price_ = "execution_price" in self.config_
|
||||
if self.is_execution_price_:
|
||||
self.execution_price_column_ = self.config_["execution_price"]["column"]
|
||||
self.execution_price_shift_ = self.config_["execution_price"]["shift"]
|
||||
else:
|
||||
self.execution_price_column_ = None
|
||||
self.execution_price_shift_ = 0
|
||||
|
||||
def has_next(self) -> bool:
|
||||
return self.current_index_ < len(self.market_data_df_)
|
||||
|
||||
def get_next(self) -> pd.Series:
|
||||
result = self.market_data_df_.iloc[self.current_index_]
|
||||
self.current_index_ += 1
|
||||
return result
|
||||
|
||||
def load(self) -> None:
|
||||
datafiles: List[str] = self.config_.get("datafiles", [])
|
||||
instruments: List[Dict[str, str]] = self.config_.get("instruments", [])
|
||||
assert len(instruments) > 0, "No instruments found in config"
|
||||
assert len(datafiles) > 0, "No datafiles found in config"
|
||||
self.symbol_a_ = instruments[0]["symbol"]
|
||||
self.symbol_b_ = instruments[1]["symbol"]
|
||||
self.stat_model_price_ = self.config_["stat_model_price"]
|
||||
|
||||
extra_minutes: int
|
||||
extra_minutes = self.execution_price_shift_
|
||||
|
||||
for datafile in datafiles:
|
||||
md_df = load_market_data(
|
||||
datafile=datafile,
|
||||
instruments=instruments,
|
||||
db_table_name=self.config_["market_data_loading"][instruments[0]["instrument_type"]]["db_table_name"],
|
||||
trading_hours=self.config_["trading_hours"],
|
||||
extra_minutes=extra_minutes,
|
||||
)
|
||||
self.origin_mkt_data_df_ = pd.concat([self.origin_mkt_data_df_, md_df])
|
||||
|
||||
self._set_market_data()
|
||||
|
||||
def _set_market_data(self, ) -> None:
|
||||
if self.is_execution_price_:
|
||||
self.market_data_df_ = pd.DataFrame(
|
||||
self._transform_dataframe(self.origin_mkt_data_df_)[["tstamp"] + self.colnames() + self.orig_exec_prices_colnames()]
|
||||
)
|
||||
else:
|
||||
self.market_data_df_ = pd.DataFrame(
|
||||
self._transform_dataframe(self.origin_mkt_data_df_)[["tstamp"] + self.colnames()]
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
self.market_data_df_ = self.market_data_df_.dropna().reset_index(drop=True)
|
||||
self.market_data_df_["tstamp"] = pd.to_datetime(self.market_data_df_["tstamp"])
|
||||
self.market_data_df_ = self.market_data_df_.sort_values("tstamp")
|
||||
self._set_execution_price_data()
|
||||
|
||||
def _transform_dataframe(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
|
||||
df_selected: pd.DataFrame
|
||||
if self.is_execution_price_:
|
||||
execution_price_column = self.config_["execution_price"]["column"]
|
||||
|
||||
df_selected = pd.DataFrame(
|
||||
df[["tstamp", "symbol", self.stat_model_price_, execution_price_column]]
|
||||
)
|
||||
else:
|
||||
df_selected = pd.DataFrame(
|
||||
df[["tstamp", "symbol", self.stat_model_price_]]
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
result_df = pd.DataFrame(df_selected["tstamp"]).drop_duplicates().reset_index(drop=True)
|
||||
|
||||
# For each unique symbol, add a corresponding stat_model_price column
|
||||
symbols = df_selected["symbol"].unique()
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
for symbol in symbols:
|
||||
# Filter rows for this symbol
|
||||
df_symbol = df_selected[df_selected["symbol"] == symbol].reset_index(
|
||||
drop=True
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
# Create column name like "close-COIN"
|
||||
new_price_column = f"{self.stat_model_price_}_{symbol}"
|
||||
if self.is_execution_price_:
|
||||
new_execution_price_column = f"{self.execution_price_column_}_{symbol}"
|
||||
|
||||
# Create temporary dataframe with timestamp and price
|
||||
temp_df = pd.DataFrame(
|
||||
{
|
||||
"tstamp": df_symbol["tstamp"],
|
||||
new_price_column: df_symbol[self.stat_model_price_],
|
||||
new_execution_price_column: df_symbol[execution_price_column],
|
||||
}
|
||||
)
|
||||
else:
|
||||
temp_df = pd.DataFrame(
|
||||
{
|
||||
"tstamp": df_symbol["tstamp"],
|
||||
new_price_column: df_symbol[self.stat_model_price_],
|
||||
}
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
# Join with our result dataframe
|
||||
result_df = pd.merge(result_df, temp_df, on="tstamp", how="left")
|
||||
result_df = result_df.reset_index(
|
||||
drop=True
|
||||
) # do not dropna() since irrelevant symbol would affect dataset
|
||||
|
||||
return result_df.dropna()
|
||||
|
||||
def _set_execution_price_data(self) -> None:
|
||||
if "execution_price" not in self.config_:
|
||||
self.market_data_df_[f"exec_price_{self.symbol_a_}"] = self.market_data_df_[f"{self.stat_model_price_}_{self.symbol_a_}"]
|
||||
self.market_data_df_[f"exec_price_{self.symbol_b_}"] = self.market_data_df_[f"{self.stat_model_price_}_{self.symbol_b_}"]
|
||||
return
|
||||
execution_price_column = self.config_["execution_price"]["column"]
|
||||
execution_price_shift = self.config_["execution_price"]["shift"]
|
||||
self.market_data_df_[f"exec_price_{self.symbol_a_}"] = self.market_data_df_[f"{execution_price_column}_{self.symbol_a_}"].shift(-execution_price_shift)
|
||||
self.market_data_df_[f"exec_price_{self.symbol_b_}"] = self.market_data_df_[f"{execution_price_column}_{self.symbol_b_}"].shift(-execution_price_shift)
|
||||
self.market_data_df_ = self.market_data_df_.dropna().reset_index(drop=True)
|
||||
|
||||
def colnames(self) -> List[str]:
|
||||
return [
|
||||
f"{self.stat_model_price_}_{self.symbol_a_}",
|
||||
f"{self.stat_model_price_}_{self.symbol_b_}",
|
||||
]
|
||||
|
||||
def orig_exec_prices_colnames(self) -> List[str]:
|
||||
return [
|
||||
f"{self.execution_price_column_}_{self.symbol_a_}",
|
||||
f"{self.execution_price_column_}_{self.symbol_b_}",
|
||||
]
|
||||
|
||||
def exec_prices_colnames(self) -> List[str]:
|
||||
return [
|
||||
f"exec_price_{self.symbol_a_}",
|
||||
f"exec_price_{self.symbol_b_}",
|
||||
]
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,48 @@
|
||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
||||
|
||||
from abc import ABC, abstractmethod
|
||||
from dataclasses import dataclass
|
||||
from enum import Enum
|
||||
from typing import Any, Dict, Optional, cast, Generator, List
|
||||
|
||||
import pandas as pd
|
||||
|
||||
from pt_strategy.trading_pair import TradingPair
|
||||
|
||||
@dataclass
|
||||
class Prediction:
|
||||
tstamp_: pd.Timestamp
|
||||
disequilibrium_: float
|
||||
scaled_disequilibrium_: float
|
||||
pair_: TradingPair
|
||||
|
||||
def to_dict(self) -> Dict[str, Any]:
|
||||
return {
|
||||
"tstamp": self.tstamp_,
|
||||
"disequilibrium": self.disequilibrium_,
|
||||
"signed_scaled_disequilibrium": self.scaled_disequilibrium_,
|
||||
"scaled_disequilibrium": abs(self.scaled_disequilibrium_),
|
||||
"pair": self.pair_,
|
||||
}
|
||||
def to_pd_series(self) -> pd.Series:
|
||||
return pd.DataFrame([self.to_dict()]).iloc[0]
|
||||
|
||||
class PairsTradingModel(ABC):
|
||||
|
||||
@abstractmethod
|
||||
def predict(self, pair: TradingPair) -> Prediction:
|
||||
...
|
||||
|
||||
@staticmethod
|
||||
def create(config: Dict[str, Any]) -> PairsTradingModel:
|
||||
import importlib
|
||||
|
||||
model_class_name = config.get("model_class", None)
|
||||
assert model_class_name is not None
|
||||
module_name, class_name = model_class_name.rsplit(".", 1)
|
||||
module = importlib.import_module(module_name)
|
||||
model_object = getattr(module, class_name)()
|
||||
return cast(PairsTradingModel, model_object)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,580 @@
|
||||
import os
|
||||
import sqlite3
|
||||
from datetime import date, datetime
|
||||
from typing import Any, Dict, List, Optional, Tuple
|
||||
|
||||
import pandas as pd
|
||||
from pt_trading.trading_pair import TradingPair
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# Recommended replacement adapters and converters for Python 3.12+
|
||||
# From: https://docs.python.org/3/library/sqlite3.html#sqlite3-adapter-converter-recipes
|
||||
def adapt_date_iso(val: date) -> str:
|
||||
"""Adapt datetime.date to ISO 8601 date."""
|
||||
return val.isoformat()
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def adapt_datetime_iso(val: datetime) -> str:
|
||||
"""Adapt datetime.datetime to timezone-naive ISO 8601 date."""
|
||||
return val.isoformat()
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def convert_date(val: bytes) -> date:
|
||||
"""Convert ISO 8601 date to datetime.date object."""
|
||||
return datetime.fromisoformat(val.decode()).date()
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def convert_datetime(val: bytes) -> datetime:
|
||||
"""Convert ISO 8601 datetime to datetime.datetime object."""
|
||||
return datetime.fromisoformat(val.decode())
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# Register the adapters and converters
|
||||
sqlite3.register_adapter(date, adapt_date_iso)
|
||||
sqlite3.register_adapter(datetime, adapt_datetime_iso)
|
||||
sqlite3.register_converter("date", convert_date)
|
||||
sqlite3.register_converter("datetime", convert_datetime)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def create_result_database(db_path: str) -> None:
|
||||
"""
|
||||
Create the SQLite database and required tables if they don't exist.
|
||||
"""
|
||||
try:
|
||||
# Create directory if it doesn't exist
|
||||
db_dir = os.path.dirname(db_path)
|
||||
if db_dir and not os.path.exists(db_dir):
|
||||
os.makedirs(db_dir, exist_ok=True)
|
||||
print(f"Created directory: {db_dir}")
|
||||
|
||||
conn = sqlite3.connect(db_path)
|
||||
cursor = conn.cursor()
|
||||
|
||||
# Create the pt_bt_results table for completed trades
|
||||
cursor.execute(
|
||||
"""
|
||||
CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS pt_bt_results (
|
||||
date DATE,
|
||||
pair TEXT,
|
||||
symbol TEXT,
|
||||
open_time DATETIME,
|
||||
open_side TEXT,
|
||||
open_price REAL,
|
||||
open_quantity INTEGER,
|
||||
open_disequilibrium REAL,
|
||||
close_time DATETIME,
|
||||
close_side TEXT,
|
||||
close_price REAL,
|
||||
close_quantity INTEGER,
|
||||
close_disequilibrium REAL,
|
||||
symbol_return REAL,
|
||||
pair_return REAL,
|
||||
close_condition TEXT
|
||||
)
|
||||
"""
|
||||
)
|
||||
cursor.execute("DELETE FROM pt_bt_results;")
|
||||
|
||||
# Create the outstanding_positions table for open positions
|
||||
cursor.execute(
|
||||
"""
|
||||
CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS outstanding_positions (
|
||||
date DATE,
|
||||
pair TEXT,
|
||||
symbol TEXT,
|
||||
position_quantity REAL,
|
||||
last_price REAL,
|
||||
unrealized_return REAL,
|
||||
open_price REAL,
|
||||
open_side TEXT
|
||||
)
|
||||
"""
|
||||
)
|
||||
cursor.execute("DELETE FROM outstanding_positions;")
|
||||
|
||||
# Create the config table for storing configuration JSON for reference
|
||||
cursor.execute(
|
||||
"""
|
||||
CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS config (
|
||||
id INTEGER PRIMARY KEY AUTOINCREMENT,
|
||||
run_timestamp DATETIME,
|
||||
config_file_path TEXT,
|
||||
config_json TEXT,
|
||||
datafiles TEXT,
|
||||
instruments TEXT
|
||||
)
|
||||
"""
|
||||
)
|
||||
cursor.execute("DELETE FROM config;")
|
||||
|
||||
conn.commit()
|
||||
conn.close()
|
||||
|
||||
except Exception as e:
|
||||
print(f"Error creating result database: {str(e)}")
|
||||
raise
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def store_config_in_database(
|
||||
db_path: str,
|
||||
config_file_path: str,
|
||||
config: Dict,
|
||||
datafiles: List[Tuple[str, str]],
|
||||
instruments: List[Dict[str, str]],
|
||||
) -> None:
|
||||
"""
|
||||
Store configuration information in the database for reference.
|
||||
"""
|
||||
import json
|
||||
|
||||
if db_path.upper() == "NONE":
|
||||
return
|
||||
|
||||
try:
|
||||
conn = sqlite3.connect(db_path)
|
||||
cursor = conn.cursor()
|
||||
|
||||
# Convert config to JSON string
|
||||
config_json = json.dumps(config, indent=2, default=str)
|
||||
|
||||
# Convert lists to comma-separated strings for storage
|
||||
datafiles_str = ", ".join([f"{datafile}" for _, datafile in datafiles])
|
||||
instruments_str = ", ".join(
|
||||
[
|
||||
f"{inst['symbol']}:{inst['instrument_type']}:{inst['exchange_id']}"
|
||||
for inst in instruments
|
||||
]
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
# Insert configuration record
|
||||
cursor.execute(
|
||||
"""
|
||||
INSERT INTO config (
|
||||
run_timestamp, config_file_path, config_json, datafiles, instruments
|
||||
) VALUES (?, ?, ?, ?, ?)
|
||||
""",
|
||||
(
|
||||
datetime.now(),
|
||||
config_file_path,
|
||||
config_json,
|
||||
datafiles_str,
|
||||
instruments_str,
|
||||
),
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
conn.commit()
|
||||
conn.close()
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"Configuration stored in database")
|
||||
|
||||
except Exception as e:
|
||||
print(f"Error storing configuration in database: {str(e)}")
|
||||
import traceback
|
||||
|
||||
traceback.print_exc()
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def convert_timestamp(timestamp: Any) -> Optional[datetime]:
|
||||
"""Convert pandas Timestamp to Python datetime object for SQLite compatibility."""
|
||||
if timestamp is None:
|
||||
return None
|
||||
if isinstance(timestamp, pd.Timestamp):
|
||||
return timestamp.to_pydatetime()
|
||||
elif isinstance(timestamp, datetime):
|
||||
return timestamp
|
||||
elif isinstance(timestamp, date):
|
||||
return datetime.combine(timestamp, datetime.min.time())
|
||||
elif isinstance(timestamp, str):
|
||||
return datetime.strptime(timestamp, "%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S")
|
||||
elif isinstance(timestamp, int):
|
||||
return datetime.fromtimestamp(timestamp)
|
||||
else:
|
||||
raise ValueError(f"Unsupported timestamp type: {type(timestamp)}")
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
DayT = str
|
||||
TradeT = Dict[str, Any]
|
||||
OutstandingPositionT = List[Dict[str, Any]]
|
||||
class PairResearchResult:
|
||||
"""
|
||||
Class to handle pair research results for a single pair across multiple days.
|
||||
Simplified version of BacktestResult focused on single pair analysis.
|
||||
"""
|
||||
trades_: Dict[DayT, pd.DataFrame]
|
||||
outstanding_positions_: Dict[DayT, OutstandingPositionT]
|
||||
|
||||
def __init__(self, config: Dict[str, Any]) -> None:
|
||||
self.config_ = config
|
||||
self.trades_ = {}
|
||||
self.outstanding_positions_ = {}
|
||||
self.total_realized_pnl = 0.0
|
||||
self.symbol_roundtrip_trades_: Dict[str, List[Dict[str, Any]]] = {}
|
||||
|
||||
def add_day_results(self, day: DayT, trades: pd.DataFrame, outstanding_positions: List[Dict[str, Any]]) -> None:
|
||||
assert isinstance(trades, pd.DataFrame)
|
||||
self.trades_[day] = trades
|
||||
self.outstanding_positions_[day] = outstanding_positions
|
||||
|
||||
@property
|
||||
def all_trades(self) -> List[TradeT]:
|
||||
"""Get all trades across all days as a flat list."""
|
||||
all_trades_list = []
|
||||
for day_trades in self.trades_.values():
|
||||
all_trades_list.extend(day_trades)
|
||||
return all_trades_list
|
||||
|
||||
@property
|
||||
def outstanding_positions(self) -> List[OutstandingPositionT]:
|
||||
"""Get all outstanding positions across all days as a flat list."""
|
||||
all_positions = []
|
||||
for day_positions in self.outstanding_positions_.values():
|
||||
all_positions.extend(day_positions)
|
||||
return all_positions
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def calculate_returns(self) -> None:
|
||||
"""Calculate and store total returns for the single pair across all days."""
|
||||
roundtrip_trades = self.extract_roundtrip_trades()
|
||||
|
||||
self.total_realized_pnl = 0.0
|
||||
|
||||
for day, day_trades in roundtrip_trades.items():
|
||||
for trade in day_trades:
|
||||
self.total_realized_pnl += trade['symbol_return']
|
||||
|
||||
def extract_roundtrip_trades(self) -> Dict[str, List[Dict[str, Any]]]:
|
||||
"""
|
||||
Extract round-trip trades by day, grouping open/close pairs for each symbol.
|
||||
Returns a dictionary with day as key and list of completed round-trip trades.
|
||||
"""
|
||||
roundtrip_trades_by_day = {}
|
||||
|
||||
def _symbol_return(trade1_side: str, trade1_px: float, trade2_side: str, trade2_px: float) -> float:
|
||||
if trade1_side == "BUY" and trade2_side == "SELL":
|
||||
return (trade2_px - trade1_px) / trade1_px * 100
|
||||
elif trade1_side == "SELL" and trade2_side == "BUY":
|
||||
return (trade1_px - trade2_px) / trade1_px * 100
|
||||
else:
|
||||
return 0
|
||||
|
||||
# Process each day separately
|
||||
for day, day_trades in self.trades_.items():
|
||||
if not day_trades or len(day_trades) < 4:
|
||||
continue
|
||||
|
||||
# Sort trades by timestamp for the day
|
||||
sorted_trades = sorted(day_trades, key=lambda x: x["timestamp"] if x["timestamp"] else pd.Timestamp.min)
|
||||
|
||||
day_roundtrips = []
|
||||
|
||||
# Process trades in groups of 4 (open A, open B, close A, close B)
|
||||
for idx in range(0, len(sorted_trades), 4):
|
||||
if idx + 3 >= len(sorted_trades):
|
||||
break
|
||||
|
||||
trade_a_1 = sorted_trades[idx] # Open A
|
||||
trade_b_1 = sorted_trades[idx + 1] # Open B
|
||||
trade_a_2 = sorted_trades[idx + 2] # Close A
|
||||
trade_b_2 = sorted_trades[idx + 3] # Close B
|
||||
|
||||
# Validate trade sequence
|
||||
if not (trade_a_1["action"] == "OPEN" and trade_a_2["action"] == "CLOSE"):
|
||||
continue
|
||||
if not (trade_b_1["action"] == "OPEN" and trade_b_2["action"] == "CLOSE"):
|
||||
continue
|
||||
|
||||
# Calculate individual symbol returns
|
||||
symbol_a_return = _symbol_return(
|
||||
trade_a_1["side"], trade_a_1["price"],
|
||||
trade_a_2["side"], trade_a_2["price"]
|
||||
)
|
||||
symbol_b_return = _symbol_return(
|
||||
trade_b_1["side"], trade_b_1["price"],
|
||||
trade_b_2["side"], trade_b_2["price"]
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
pair_return = symbol_a_return + symbol_b_return
|
||||
|
||||
# Create round-trip records for both symbols
|
||||
funding_per_position = self.config_.get("funding_per_pair", 10000) / 2
|
||||
|
||||
# Symbol A round-trip
|
||||
day_roundtrips.append({
|
||||
"symbol": trade_a_1["symbol"],
|
||||
"open_side": trade_a_1["side"],
|
||||
"open_price": trade_a_1["price"],
|
||||
"open_time": trade_a_1["timestamp"],
|
||||
"close_side": trade_a_2["side"],
|
||||
"close_price": trade_a_2["price"],
|
||||
"close_time": trade_a_2["timestamp"],
|
||||
"symbol_return": symbol_a_return,
|
||||
"pair_return": pair_return,
|
||||
"shares": funding_per_position / trade_a_1["price"],
|
||||
"close_condition": trade_a_2.get("status", "UNKNOWN"),
|
||||
"open_disequilibrium": trade_a_1.get("disequilibrium"),
|
||||
"close_disequilibrium": trade_a_2.get("disequilibrium"),
|
||||
})
|
||||
|
||||
# Symbol B round-trip
|
||||
day_roundtrips.append({
|
||||
"symbol": trade_b_1["symbol"],
|
||||
"open_side": trade_b_1["side"],
|
||||
"open_price": trade_b_1["price"],
|
||||
"open_time": trade_b_1["timestamp"],
|
||||
"close_side": trade_b_2["side"],
|
||||
"close_price": trade_b_2["price"],
|
||||
"close_time": trade_b_2["timestamp"],
|
||||
"symbol_return": symbol_b_return,
|
||||
"pair_return": pair_return,
|
||||
"shares": funding_per_position / trade_b_1["price"],
|
||||
"close_condition": trade_b_2.get("status", "UNKNOWN"),
|
||||
"open_disequilibrium": trade_b_1.get("disequilibrium"),
|
||||
"close_disequilibrium": trade_b_2.get("disequilibrium"),
|
||||
})
|
||||
|
||||
if day_roundtrips:
|
||||
roundtrip_trades_by_day[day] = day_roundtrips
|
||||
|
||||
return roundtrip_trades_by_day
|
||||
|
||||
def print_returns_by_day(self) -> None:
|
||||
"""
|
||||
Print detailed return information for each day, grouped by day.
|
||||
Shows individual symbol round-trips and daily totals.
|
||||
"""
|
||||
roundtrip_trades = self.extract_roundtrip_trades()
|
||||
|
||||
if not roundtrip_trades:
|
||||
print("\n====== NO ROUND-TRIP TRADES FOUND ======")
|
||||
return
|
||||
|
||||
print("\n====== PAIR RESEARCH RETURNS BY DAY ======")
|
||||
|
||||
total_return_all_days = 0.0
|
||||
|
||||
for day in sorted(roundtrip_trades.keys()):
|
||||
day_trades = roundtrip_trades[day]
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n--- {day} ---")
|
||||
|
||||
day_total_return = 0.0
|
||||
pair_returns = []
|
||||
|
||||
# Group trades by pair (every 2 trades form a pair)
|
||||
for i in range(0, len(day_trades), 2):
|
||||
if i + 1 < len(day_trades):
|
||||
trade_a = day_trades[i]
|
||||
trade_b = day_trades[i + 1]
|
||||
|
||||
# Print individual symbol results
|
||||
print(f" {trade_a['open_time'].time()}-{trade_a['close_time'].time()}")
|
||||
print(f" {trade_a['symbol']}: {trade_a['open_side']} @ ${trade_a['open_price']:.2f} → "
|
||||
f"{trade_a['close_side']} @ ${trade_a['close_price']:.2f} | "
|
||||
f"Return: {trade_a['symbol_return']:+.2f}% | Shares: {trade_a['shares']:.2f}")
|
||||
|
||||
print(f" {trade_b['symbol']}: {trade_b['open_side']} @ ${trade_b['open_price']:.2f} → "
|
||||
f"{trade_b['close_side']} @ ${trade_b['close_price']:.2f} | "
|
||||
f"Return: {trade_b['symbol_return']:+.2f}% | Shares: {trade_b['shares']:.2f}")
|
||||
|
||||
# Show disequilibrium info if available
|
||||
if trade_a.get('open_disequilibrium') is not None:
|
||||
print(f" Disequilibrium: Open: {trade_a['open_disequilibrium']:.4f}, "
|
||||
f"Close: {trade_a['close_disequilibrium']:.4f}")
|
||||
|
||||
pair_return = trade_a['pair_return']
|
||||
print(f" Pair Return: {pair_return:+.2f}% | Close Condition: {trade_a['close_condition']}")
|
||||
print()
|
||||
|
||||
pair_returns.append(pair_return)
|
||||
day_total_return += pair_return
|
||||
|
||||
print(f" Day Total Return: {day_total_return:+.2f}% ({len(pair_returns)} pairs)")
|
||||
total_return_all_days += day_total_return
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n====== TOTAL RETURN ACROSS ALL DAYS ======")
|
||||
print(f"Total Return: {total_return_all_days:+.2f}%")
|
||||
print(f"Total Days: {len(roundtrip_trades)}")
|
||||
if len(roundtrip_trades) > 0:
|
||||
print(f"Average Daily Return: {total_return_all_days / len(roundtrip_trades):+.2f}%")
|
||||
|
||||
def get_return_summary(self) -> Dict[str, Any]:
|
||||
"""
|
||||
Get a summary of returns across all days.
|
||||
Returns a dictionary with key metrics.
|
||||
"""
|
||||
roundtrip_trades = self.extract_roundtrip_trades()
|
||||
|
||||
if not roundtrip_trades:
|
||||
return {
|
||||
"total_return": 0.0,
|
||||
"total_days": 0,
|
||||
"total_pairs": 0,
|
||||
"average_daily_return": 0.0,
|
||||
"best_day": None,
|
||||
"worst_day": None,
|
||||
"daily_returns": {}
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
daily_returns = {}
|
||||
total_return = 0.0
|
||||
total_pairs = 0
|
||||
|
||||
for day, day_trades in roundtrip_trades.items():
|
||||
day_return = 0.0
|
||||
day_pairs = len(day_trades) // 2 # Each pair has 2 symbol trades
|
||||
|
||||
for trade in day_trades:
|
||||
day_return += trade['symbol_return']
|
||||
|
||||
daily_returns[day] = {
|
||||
"return": day_return,
|
||||
"pairs": day_pairs
|
||||
}
|
||||
total_return += day_return
|
||||
total_pairs += day_pairs
|
||||
|
||||
best_day = max(daily_returns.items(), key=lambda x: x[1]["return"]) if daily_returns else None
|
||||
worst_day = min(daily_returns.items(), key=lambda x: x[1]["return"]) if daily_returns else None
|
||||
|
||||
return {
|
||||
"total_return": total_return,
|
||||
"total_days": len(roundtrip_trades),
|
||||
"total_pairs": total_pairs,
|
||||
"average_daily_return": total_return / len(roundtrip_trades) if roundtrip_trades else 0.0,
|
||||
"best_day": best_day,
|
||||
"worst_day": worst_day,
|
||||
"daily_returns": daily_returns
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
def print_single_day_results(self) -> None:
|
||||
"""Print results for all processed days."""
|
||||
all_trades_list = self.all_trades
|
||||
if not all_trades_list:
|
||||
print("No trades found.")
|
||||
return
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"Total trades processed: {len(all_trades_list)}")
|
||||
|
||||
# Group trades by day
|
||||
trades_by_day: Dict[str, List[Dict[str, Any]]] = {}
|
||||
for trade in all_trades_list:
|
||||
if trade["timestamp"]:
|
||||
day = trade["timestamp"].date()
|
||||
if day not in trades_by_day:
|
||||
trades_by_day[day] = []
|
||||
trades_by_day[day].append(trade)
|
||||
|
||||
for day, day_trades in sorted(trades_by_day.items()):
|
||||
print(f"\n--- {day} ---")
|
||||
for trade in day_trades:
|
||||
print(f" {trade['timestamp'].time() if trade['timestamp'] else 'N/A'}: "
|
||||
f"{trade['symbol']} {trade['side']} {trade['action']} @ ${trade['price']:.2f} "
|
||||
f"({trade['status']})")
|
||||
|
||||
def print_grand_totals(self) -> None:
|
||||
"""Print grand totals for the single pair analysis."""
|
||||
summary = self.get_return_summary()
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n====== PAIR RESEARCH GRAND TOTALS ======")
|
||||
print(f"Total Return: {summary['total_return']:+.2f}%")
|
||||
print(f"Total Days Traded: {summary['total_days']}")
|
||||
print(f"Total Pair Trades: {summary['total_pairs']}")
|
||||
|
||||
if summary['total_days'] > 0:
|
||||
print(f"Average Daily Return: {summary['average_daily_return']:+.2f}%")
|
||||
|
||||
if summary['best_day']:
|
||||
best_day, best_data = summary['best_day']
|
||||
print(f"Best Day: {best_day} ({best_data['return']:+.2f}%)")
|
||||
|
||||
if summary['worst_day']:
|
||||
worst_day, worst_data = summary['worst_day']
|
||||
print(f"Worst Day: {worst_day} ({worst_data['return']:+.2f}%)")
|
||||
|
||||
# Update the total_realized_pnl for backward compatibility
|
||||
self.total_realized_pnl = summary['total_return']
|
||||
|
||||
def analyze_pair_performance(self) -> None:
|
||||
"""
|
||||
Main method to perform comprehensive pair research analysis.
|
||||
Extracts round-trip trades, calculates returns, groups by day, and prints results.
|
||||
"""
|
||||
print(f"\n{'='*60}")
|
||||
print(f"PAIR RESEARCH PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS")
|
||||
print(f"{'='*60}")
|
||||
|
||||
# Calculate returns first
|
||||
self.calculate_returns()
|
||||
|
||||
# Print detailed returns by day
|
||||
self.print_returns_by_day()
|
||||
|
||||
# Print outstanding positions if any
|
||||
self.print_outstanding_positions()
|
||||
|
||||
# Print grand totals
|
||||
self.print_grand_totals()
|
||||
|
||||
# Print additional analysis
|
||||
self._print_additional_metrics()
|
||||
|
||||
def _print_additional_metrics(self) -> None:
|
||||
"""Print additional performance metrics."""
|
||||
summary = self.get_return_summary()
|
||||
|
||||
if summary['total_days'] == 0:
|
||||
return
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n====== ADDITIONAL METRICS ======")
|
||||
|
||||
# Calculate win rate
|
||||
winning_days = sum(1 for day_data in summary['daily_returns'].values() if day_data['return'] > 0)
|
||||
win_rate = (winning_days / summary['total_days']) * 100
|
||||
print(f"Winning Days: {winning_days}/{summary['total_days']} ({win_rate:.1f}%)")
|
||||
|
||||
# Calculate average trade return
|
||||
if summary['total_pairs'] > 0:
|
||||
# Each pair has 2 symbol trades, so total symbol trades = total_pairs * 2
|
||||
total_symbol_trades = summary['total_pairs'] * 2
|
||||
avg_symbol_return = summary['total_return'] / total_symbol_trades
|
||||
print(f"Average Symbol Return: {avg_symbol_return:+.2f}%")
|
||||
|
||||
avg_pair_return = summary['total_return'] / summary['total_pairs'] / 2 # Divide by 2 since we sum both symbols
|
||||
print(f"Average Pair Return: {avg_pair_return:+.2f}%")
|
||||
|
||||
# Show daily return distribution
|
||||
daily_returns_list = [data['return'] for data in summary['daily_returns'].values()]
|
||||
if daily_returns_list:
|
||||
print(f"Daily Return Range: {min(daily_returns_list):+.2f}% to {max(daily_returns_list):+.2f}%")
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def print_outstanding_positions(self) -> None:
|
||||
"""Print outstanding positions for the single pair."""
|
||||
all_positions = self.outstanding_positions
|
||||
if not all_positions:
|
||||
print("\n====== NO OUTSTANDING POSITIONS ======")
|
||||
return
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n====== OUTSTANDING POSITIONS ======")
|
||||
print(f"{'Symbol':<10} {'Side':<4} {'Shares':<10} {'Open $':<8} {'Current $':<10} {'Value $':<12}")
|
||||
print("-" * 70)
|
||||
|
||||
total_value = 0.0
|
||||
for pos in all_positions:
|
||||
current_value = pos.get("last_value", 0.0)
|
||||
print(f"{pos['symbol']:<10} {pos['open_side']:<4} {pos['shares']:<10.2f} "
|
||||
f"{pos['open_px']:<8.2f} {pos['last_px']:<10.2f} {current_value:<12.2f}")
|
||||
total_value += current_value
|
||||
|
||||
print("-" * 70)
|
||||
print(f"{'TOTAL VALUE':<60} ${total_value:<12.2f}")
|
||||
|
||||
def get_total_realized_pnl(self) -> float:
|
||||
"""Get total realized PnL."""
|
||||
return self.total_realized_pnl
|
||||
|
||||
def get_outstanding_positions(self) -> List[Dict[str, Any]]:
|
||||
"""Get outstanding positions."""
|
||||
return self.outstanding_positions
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,170 @@
|
||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
||||
|
||||
from abc import ABC, abstractmethod
|
||||
from datetime import datetime
|
||||
from enum import Enum
|
||||
from typing import Any, Dict, Optional, Type, cast, Generator, List
|
||||
|
||||
import pandas as pd
|
||||
|
||||
from pt_strategy.model_data_policy import DataParams
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
class PairState(Enum):
|
||||
INITIAL = 1
|
||||
OPEN = 2
|
||||
CLOSE = 3
|
||||
CLOSE_POSITION = 4
|
||||
CLOSE_STOP_LOSS = 5
|
||||
CLOSE_STOP_PROFIT = 6
|
||||
|
||||
class TradingPair:
|
||||
config_: Dict[str, Any]
|
||||
market_data_: pd.DataFrame
|
||||
symbol_a_: str
|
||||
symbol_b_: str
|
||||
|
||||
stat_model_price_: str
|
||||
model_: PairsTradingModel # type: ignore[assignment]
|
||||
model_tdp_: ModelDataPolicy # type: ignore[assignment]
|
||||
|
||||
user_data_: Dict[str, Any]
|
||||
|
||||
def __init__(
|
||||
self,
|
||||
config: Dict[str, Any],
|
||||
instruments: List[Dict[str, str]],
|
||||
):
|
||||
|
||||
from pt_strategy.model_data_policy import ModelDataPolicy
|
||||
from pt_strategy.pt_model import PairsTradingModel
|
||||
assert len(instruments) == 2, "Trading pair must have exactly 2 instruments"
|
||||
|
||||
self.config_ = config
|
||||
self.symbol_a_ = instruments[0]["symbol"]
|
||||
self.symbol_b_ = instruments[1]["symbol"]
|
||||
self.model_ = PairsTradingModel.create(config)
|
||||
self.model_tdp_ = ModelDataPolicy.create(config)
|
||||
self.stat_model_price_ = config["stat_model_price"]
|
||||
self.user_data_ = {
|
||||
"state": PairState.INITIAL,
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
def colnames(self) -> List[str]:
|
||||
return [
|
||||
f"{self.stat_model_price_}_{self.symbol_a_}",
|
||||
f"{self.stat_model_price_}_{self.symbol_b_}",
|
||||
]
|
||||
|
||||
def exec_prices_colnames(self) -> List[str]:
|
||||
return [
|
||||
f"exec_price_{self.symbol_a_}",
|
||||
f"exec_price_{self.symbol_b_}",
|
||||
]
|
||||
|
||||
def to_stop_close_conditions(self, predicted_row: pd.Series) -> bool:
|
||||
config = self.config_
|
||||
if (
|
||||
"stop_close_conditions" not in config
|
||||
or config["stop_close_conditions"] is None
|
||||
):
|
||||
return False
|
||||
if "profit" in config["stop_close_conditions"]:
|
||||
current_return = self._current_return(predicted_row)
|
||||
#
|
||||
# print(f"time={predicted_row['tstamp']} current_return={current_return}")
|
||||
#
|
||||
if current_return >= config["stop_close_conditions"]["profit"]:
|
||||
print(f"STOP PROFIT: {current_return}")
|
||||
self.user_data_["stop_close_state"] = PairState.CLOSE_STOP_PROFIT
|
||||
return True
|
||||
if "loss" in config["stop_close_conditions"]:
|
||||
if current_return <= config["stop_close_conditions"]["loss"]:
|
||||
print(f"STOP LOSS: {current_return}")
|
||||
self.user_data_["stop_close_state"] = PairState.CLOSE_STOP_LOSS
|
||||
return True
|
||||
return False
|
||||
|
||||
def _current_return(self, predicted_row: pd.Series) -> float:
|
||||
if "open_trades" in self.user_data_:
|
||||
open_trades = self.user_data_["open_trades"]
|
||||
if len(open_trades) == 0:
|
||||
return 0.0
|
||||
|
||||
def _single_instrument_return(symbol: str) -> float:
|
||||
instrument_open_trades = open_trades[open_trades["symbol"] == symbol]
|
||||
instrument_open_price = instrument_open_trades["price"].iloc[0]
|
||||
|
||||
sign = -1 if instrument_open_trades["side"].iloc[0] == "SELL" else 1
|
||||
instrument_price = predicted_row[f"{self.stat_model_price_}_{symbol}"]
|
||||
instrument_return = (
|
||||
sign
|
||||
* (instrument_price - instrument_open_price)
|
||||
/ instrument_open_price
|
||||
)
|
||||
return float(instrument_return) * 100.0
|
||||
|
||||
instrument_a_return = _single_instrument_return(self.symbol_a_)
|
||||
instrument_b_return = _single_instrument_return(self.symbol_b_)
|
||||
return instrument_a_return + instrument_b_return
|
||||
return 0.0
|
||||
|
||||
def on_open_trades(self, trades: pd.DataFrame) -> None:
|
||||
if "close_trades" in self.user_data_:
|
||||
del self.user_data_["close_trades"]
|
||||
self.user_data_["open_trades"] = trades
|
||||
|
||||
def on_close_trades(self, trades: pd.DataFrame) -> None:
|
||||
del self.user_data_["open_trades"]
|
||||
self.user_data_["close_trades"] = trades
|
||||
|
||||
def add_outstanding_position(
|
||||
self,
|
||||
symbol: str,
|
||||
open_side: str,
|
||||
open_px: float,
|
||||
open_tstamp: datetime,
|
||||
last_mkt_data_row: pd.Series,
|
||||
) -> None:
|
||||
assert symbol in [self.symbol_a_, self.symbol_b_], "Symbol must be one of the pair's symbols"
|
||||
assert open_side in ["BUY", "SELL"], "Open side must be either BUY or SELL"
|
||||
assert open_px > 0, "Open price must be greater than 0"
|
||||
assert open_tstamp is not None, "Open timestamp must be provided"
|
||||
assert last_mkt_data_row is not None, "Last market data row must be provided"
|
||||
|
||||
exec_prices_col_a, exec_prices_col_b = self.exec_prices_colnames()
|
||||
if symbol == self.symbol_a_:
|
||||
last_px = last_mkt_data_row[exec_prices_col_a]
|
||||
else:
|
||||
last_px = last_mkt_data_row[exec_prices_col_b]
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
funding_per_position = self.config_["funding_per_pair"] / 2
|
||||
shares = funding_per_position / open_px
|
||||
if open_side == "SELL":
|
||||
shares = -shares
|
||||
|
||||
if "outstanding_positions" not in self.user_data_:
|
||||
self.user_data_["outstanding_positions"] = []
|
||||
|
||||
self.user_data_["outstanding_positions"].append({
|
||||
"symbol": symbol,
|
||||
"open_side": open_side,
|
||||
"open_px": open_px,
|
||||
"shares": shares,
|
||||
"open_tstamp": open_tstamp,
|
||||
"last_px": last_px,
|
||||
"last_tstamp": last_mkt_data_row["tstamp"],
|
||||
"last_value": last_px * shares,
|
||||
})
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def run(self, market_data: pd.DataFrame, data_params: DataParams) -> Prediction: # type: ignore[assignment]
|
||||
self.market_data_ = market_data[data_params.training_start_index:data_params.training_start_index + data_params.training_size]
|
||||
return self.model_.predict(pair=self)
|
||||
|
||||
while self.model_tdp_.has_next_training_data():
|
||||
training_data = self.model_tdp_.get_next_training_data()
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,416 @@
|
||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
||||
|
||||
import os
|
||||
from abc import ABC, abstractmethod
|
||||
from enum import Enum
|
||||
from typing import Any, Dict, Generator, List, Optional, Type, cast
|
||||
|
||||
import pandas as pd
|
||||
from pt_strategy.model_data_policy import ModelDataPolicy
|
||||
from pt_strategy.pt_market_data import PtMarketData
|
||||
from pt_strategy.pt_model import Prediction
|
||||
from pt_strategy.results import (
|
||||
PairResearchResult,
|
||||
create_result_database,
|
||||
store_config_in_database,
|
||||
)
|
||||
from pt_strategy.trading_pair import PairState, TradingPair
|
||||
from tools.filetools import resolve_datafiles
|
||||
from tools.instruments import get_instruments
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
class PtResearchStrategy:
|
||||
config_: Dict[str, Any]
|
||||
trading_pair_: TradingPair
|
||||
model_data_policy_: ModelDataPolicy
|
||||
pt_mkt_data_: PtMarketData
|
||||
|
||||
trades_: List[pd.DataFrame]
|
||||
|
||||
def __init__(
|
||||
self,
|
||||
config: Dict[str, Any],
|
||||
datafiles: List[str],
|
||||
instruments: List[Dict[str, str]],
|
||||
):
|
||||
from pt_strategy.model_data_policy import ModelDataPolicy
|
||||
from pt_strategy.pt_market_data import PtMarketData, ResearchMarketData
|
||||
from pt_strategy.trading_pair import TradingPair
|
||||
|
||||
self.config_ = config
|
||||
self.trades_ = []
|
||||
self.trading_pair_ = TradingPair(config=config, instruments=instruments)
|
||||
self.model_data_policy_ = ModelDataPolicy.create(config)
|
||||
|
||||
import copy
|
||||
|
||||
# modified config must be passed to PtMarketData
|
||||
config_copy = copy.deepcopy(config)
|
||||
config_copy["instruments"] = instruments
|
||||
config_copy["datafiles"] = datafiles
|
||||
self.pt_mkt_data_ = PtMarketData.create(
|
||||
config=config_copy, md_class=ResearchMarketData
|
||||
)
|
||||
self.pt_mkt_data_.load()
|
||||
|
||||
def outstanding_positions(self) -> List[Dict[str, Any]]:
|
||||
return list(self.trading_pair_.user_data_.get("outstanding_positions", []))
|
||||
|
||||
def run(self) -> None:
|
||||
training_minutes = self.config_.get("training_minutes", 120)
|
||||
market_data_series: pd.Series
|
||||
market_data_df = pd.DataFrame()
|
||||
|
||||
idx = 0
|
||||
while self.pt_mkt_data_.has_next():
|
||||
market_data_series = self.pt_mkt_data_.get_next()
|
||||
market_data_df = pd.concat(
|
||||
[market_data_df, market_data_series.to_frame().T], ignore_index=True
|
||||
)
|
||||
if idx >= training_minutes:
|
||||
break
|
||||
idx += 1
|
||||
|
||||
assert idx >= training_minutes, "Not enough training data"
|
||||
|
||||
while self.pt_mkt_data_.has_next():
|
||||
|
||||
market_data_series = self.pt_mkt_data_.get_next()
|
||||
new_row = market_data_series.to_frame().T
|
||||
market_data_df = pd.concat([market_data_df, new_row], ignore_index=True)
|
||||
|
||||
prediction = self.trading_pair_.run(
|
||||
market_data_df, self.model_data_policy_.advance()
|
||||
)
|
||||
assert prediction is not None
|
||||
|
||||
trades = self._create_trades(
|
||||
prediction=prediction, last_row=market_data_df.iloc[-1]
|
||||
)
|
||||
if trades is not None:
|
||||
self.trades_.append(trades)
|
||||
|
||||
trades = self._handle_outstanding_positions()
|
||||
if trades is not None:
|
||||
self.trades_.append(trades)
|
||||
|
||||
def _create_trades(
|
||||
self, prediction: Prediction, last_row: pd.Series
|
||||
) -> Optional[pd.DataFrame]:
|
||||
pair = self.trading_pair_
|
||||
trades = None
|
||||
|
||||
open_threshold = self.config_["dis-equilibrium_open_trshld"]
|
||||
close_threshold = self.config_["dis-equilibrium_close_trshld"]
|
||||
scaled_disequilibrium = prediction.scaled_disequilibrium_
|
||||
abs_scaled_disequilibrium = abs(scaled_disequilibrium)
|
||||
|
||||
if pair.user_data_["state"] in [
|
||||
PairState.INITIAL,
|
||||
PairState.CLOSE,
|
||||
PairState.CLOSE_POSITION,
|
||||
PairState.CLOSE_STOP_LOSS,
|
||||
PairState.CLOSE_STOP_PROFIT,
|
||||
]:
|
||||
if abs_scaled_disequilibrium >= open_threshold:
|
||||
trades = self._create_open_trades(
|
||||
pair, row=last_row, prediction=prediction
|
||||
)
|
||||
if trades is not None:
|
||||
trades["status"] = PairState.OPEN.name
|
||||
print(f"OPEN TRADES:\n{trades}")
|
||||
pair.user_data_["state"] = PairState.OPEN
|
||||
pair.on_open_trades(trades)
|
||||
|
||||
elif pair.user_data_["state"] == PairState.OPEN:
|
||||
if abs_scaled_disequilibrium <= close_threshold:
|
||||
trades = self._create_close_trades(
|
||||
pair, row=last_row, prediction=prediction
|
||||
)
|
||||
if trades is not None:
|
||||
trades["status"] = PairState.CLOSE.name
|
||||
print(f"CLOSE TRADES:\n{trades}")
|
||||
pair.user_data_["state"] = PairState.CLOSE
|
||||
pair.on_close_trades(trades)
|
||||
elif pair.to_stop_close_conditions(predicted_row=last_row):
|
||||
trades = self._create_close_trades(pair, row=last_row)
|
||||
if trades is not None:
|
||||
trades["status"] = pair.user_data_["stop_close_state"].name
|
||||
print(f"STOP CLOSE TRADES:\n{trades}")
|
||||
pair.user_data_["state"] = pair.user_data_["stop_close_state"]
|
||||
pair.on_close_trades(trades)
|
||||
|
||||
return trades
|
||||
|
||||
def _handle_outstanding_positions(self) -> Optional[pd.DataFrame]:
|
||||
trades = None
|
||||
pair = self.trading_pair_
|
||||
|
||||
# Outstanding positions
|
||||
if pair.user_data_["state"] == PairState.OPEN:
|
||||
print(f"{pair}: *** Position is NOT CLOSED. ***")
|
||||
# outstanding positions
|
||||
if self.config_["close_outstanding_positions"]:
|
||||
close_position_row = pd.Series(pair.market_data_.iloc[-2])
|
||||
# close_position_row["disequilibrium"] = 0.0
|
||||
# close_position_row["scaled_disequilibrium"] = 0.0
|
||||
# close_position_row["signed_scaled_disequilibrium"] = 0.0
|
||||
|
||||
trades = self._create_close_trades(
|
||||
pair=pair, row=close_position_row, prediction=None
|
||||
)
|
||||
if trades is not None:
|
||||
trades["status"] = PairState.CLOSE_POSITION.name
|
||||
print(f"CLOSE_POSITION TRADES:\n{trades}")
|
||||
pair.user_data_["state"] = PairState.CLOSE_POSITION
|
||||
pair.on_close_trades(trades)
|
||||
else:
|
||||
pair.add_outstanding_position(
|
||||
symbol=pair.symbol_a_,
|
||||
open_side=pair.user_data_["open_side_a"],
|
||||
open_px=pair.user_data_["open_px_a"],
|
||||
open_tstamp=pair.user_data_["open_tstamp"],
|
||||
last_mkt_data_row=pair.market_data_.iloc[-1],
|
||||
)
|
||||
pair.add_outstanding_position(
|
||||
symbol=pair.symbol_b_,
|
||||
open_side=pair.user_data_["open_side_b"],
|
||||
open_px=pair.user_data_["open_px_b"],
|
||||
open_tstamp=pair.user_data_["open_tstamp"],
|
||||
last_mkt_data_row=pair.market_data_.iloc[-1],
|
||||
)
|
||||
return trades
|
||||
|
||||
def _trades_df(self) -> pd.DataFrame:
|
||||
types = {
|
||||
"time": "datetime64[ns]",
|
||||
"action": "string",
|
||||
"symbol": "string",
|
||||
"side": "string",
|
||||
"price": "float64",
|
||||
"disequilibrium": "float64",
|
||||
"scaled_disequilibrium": "float64",
|
||||
"signed_scaled_disequilibrium": "float64",
|
||||
# "pair": "object",
|
||||
}
|
||||
columns = list(types.keys())
|
||||
return pd.DataFrame(columns=columns).astype(types)
|
||||
|
||||
def _create_open_trades(
|
||||
self, pair: TradingPair, row: pd.Series, prediction: Prediction
|
||||
) -> Optional[pd.DataFrame]:
|
||||
colname_a, colname_b = pair.exec_prices_colnames()
|
||||
|
||||
tstamp = row["tstamp"]
|
||||
diseqlbrm = prediction.disequilibrium_
|
||||
scaled_disequilibrium = prediction.scaled_disequilibrium_
|
||||
px_a = row[f"{colname_a}"]
|
||||
px_b = row[f"{colname_b}"]
|
||||
|
||||
# creating the trades
|
||||
df = self._trades_df()
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"OPEN_TRADES: {row["tstamp"]} {scaled_disequilibrium=}")
|
||||
if diseqlbrm > 0:
|
||||
side_a = "SELL"
|
||||
side_b = "BUY"
|
||||
else:
|
||||
side_a = "BUY"
|
||||
side_b = "SELL"
|
||||
|
||||
# save closing sides
|
||||
pair.user_data_["open_side_a"] = side_a # used in oustanding positions
|
||||
pair.user_data_["open_side_b"] = side_b
|
||||
pair.user_data_["open_px_a"] = px_a
|
||||
pair.user_data_["open_px_b"] = px_b
|
||||
pair.user_data_["open_tstamp"] = tstamp
|
||||
|
||||
pair.user_data_["close_side_a"] = side_b # used for closing trades
|
||||
pair.user_data_["close_side_b"] = side_a
|
||||
|
||||
# create opening trades
|
||||
df.loc[len(df)] = {
|
||||
"time": tstamp,
|
||||
"symbol": pair.symbol_a_,
|
||||
"side": side_a,
|
||||
"action": "OPEN",
|
||||
"price": px_a,
|
||||
"disequilibrium": diseqlbrm,
|
||||
"signed_scaled_disequilibrium": scaled_disequilibrium,
|
||||
"scaled_disequilibrium": abs(scaled_disequilibrium),
|
||||
# "pair": pair,
|
||||
}
|
||||
df.loc[len(df)] = {
|
||||
"time": tstamp,
|
||||
"symbol": pair.symbol_b_,
|
||||
"side": side_b,
|
||||
"action": "OPEN",
|
||||
"price": px_b,
|
||||
"disequilibrium": diseqlbrm,
|
||||
"scaled_disequilibrium": abs(scaled_disequilibrium),
|
||||
"signed_scaled_disequilibrium": scaled_disequilibrium,
|
||||
# "pair": pair,
|
||||
}
|
||||
return df
|
||||
|
||||
def _create_close_trades(
|
||||
self, pair: TradingPair, row: pd.Series, prediction: Optional[Prediction] = None
|
||||
) -> Optional[pd.DataFrame]:
|
||||
colname_a, colname_b = pair.exec_prices_colnames()
|
||||
|
||||
tstamp = row["tstamp"]
|
||||
if prediction is not None:
|
||||
diseqlbrm = prediction.disequilibrium_
|
||||
signed_scaled_disequilibrium = prediction.scaled_disequilibrium_
|
||||
scaled_disequilibrium = abs(prediction.scaled_disequilibrium_)
|
||||
else:
|
||||
diseqlbrm = 0.0
|
||||
signed_scaled_disequilibrium = 0.0
|
||||
scaled_disequilibrium = 0.0
|
||||
px_a = row[f"{colname_a}"]
|
||||
px_b = row[f"{colname_b}"]
|
||||
|
||||
# creating the trades
|
||||
df = self._trades_df()
|
||||
|
||||
# create opening trades
|
||||
df.loc[len(df)] = {
|
||||
"time": tstamp,
|
||||
"symbol": pair.symbol_a_,
|
||||
"side": pair.user_data_["close_side_a"],
|
||||
"action": "CLOSE",
|
||||
"price": px_a,
|
||||
"disequilibrium": diseqlbrm,
|
||||
"scaled_disequilibrium": scaled_disequilibrium,
|
||||
"signed_scaled_disequilibrium": signed_scaled_disequilibrium,
|
||||
# "pair": pair,
|
||||
}
|
||||
df.loc[len(df)] = {
|
||||
"time": tstamp,
|
||||
"symbol": pair.symbol_b_,
|
||||
"side": pair.user_data_["close_side_b"],
|
||||
"action": "CLOSE",
|
||||
"price": px_b,
|
||||
"disequilibrium": diseqlbrm,
|
||||
"scaled_disequilibrium": scaled_disequilibrium,
|
||||
"signed_scaled_disequilibrium": signed_scaled_disequilibrium,
|
||||
# "pair": pair,
|
||||
}
|
||||
del pair.user_data_["close_side_a"]
|
||||
del pair.user_data_["close_side_b"]
|
||||
|
||||
del pair.user_data_["open_tstamp"]
|
||||
del pair.user_data_["open_px_a"]
|
||||
del pair.user_data_["open_px_b"]
|
||||
del pair.user_data_["open_side_a"]
|
||||
del pair.user_data_["open_side_b"]
|
||||
return df
|
||||
|
||||
def day_trades(self) -> pd.DataFrame:
|
||||
return pd.concat(self.trades_, ignore_index=True)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def main() -> None:
|
||||
import argparse
|
||||
|
||||
from tools.config import expand_filename, load_config
|
||||
|
||||
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description="Run pairs trading backtest.")
|
||||
parser.add_argument(
|
||||
"--config", type=str, required=True, help="Path to the configuration file."
|
||||
)
|
||||
parser.add_argument(
|
||||
"--date_pattern",
|
||||
type=str,
|
||||
required=True,
|
||||
help="Date YYYYMMDD, allows * and ? wildcards",
|
||||
)
|
||||
parser.add_argument(
|
||||
"--instruments",
|
||||
type=str,
|
||||
required=True,
|
||||
help="Comma-separated list of instrument symbols (e.g., COIN:EQUITY,GBTC:CRYPTO)",
|
||||
)
|
||||
parser.add_argument(
|
||||
"--result_db",
|
||||
type=str,
|
||||
required=True,
|
||||
help="Path to SQLite database for storing results. Use 'NONE' to disable database output.",
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
args = parser.parse_args()
|
||||
|
||||
config: Dict = load_config(args.config)
|
||||
|
||||
# Resolve data files (CLI takes priority over config)
|
||||
instruments = get_instruments(args, config)
|
||||
datafiles = resolve_datafiles(config, args.date_pattern, instruments)
|
||||
|
||||
days = list(set([day for day, _ in datafiles]))
|
||||
print(f"Found {len(datafiles)} data files to process:")
|
||||
for df in datafiles:
|
||||
print(f" - {df}")
|
||||
|
||||
# Create result database if needed
|
||||
if args.result_db.upper() != "NONE":
|
||||
args.result_db = expand_filename(args.result_db)
|
||||
create_result_database(args.result_db)
|
||||
|
||||
# Initialize a dictionary to store all trade results
|
||||
all_results: Dict[str, Dict[str, Any]] = {}
|
||||
is_config_stored = False
|
||||
# Process each data file
|
||||
|
||||
results = PairResearchResult(config=config)
|
||||
for day in sorted(days):
|
||||
md_datafiles = [datafile for md_day, datafile in datafiles if md_day == day]
|
||||
if not all([os.path.exists(datafile) for datafile in md_datafiles]):
|
||||
print(f"WARNING: insufficient data files: {md_datafiles}")
|
||||
continue
|
||||
print(f"\n====== Processing {day} ======")
|
||||
|
||||
if not is_config_stored:
|
||||
store_config_in_database(
|
||||
db_path=args.result_db,
|
||||
config_file_path=args.config,
|
||||
config=config,
|
||||
datafiles=datafiles,
|
||||
instruments=instruments,
|
||||
)
|
||||
is_config_stored = True
|
||||
|
||||
pt_strategy = PtResearchStrategy(
|
||||
config=config, datafiles=md_datafiles, instruments=instruments
|
||||
)
|
||||
pt_strategy.run()
|
||||
results.add_day_results(
|
||||
day=day,
|
||||
trades=pt_strategy.day_trades(),
|
||||
outstanding_positions=pt_strategy.outstanding_positions(),
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
# ADD RESULTS ANALYSIS
|
||||
results.calculate_returns()
|
||||
results.print_single_day_results()
|
||||
|
||||
# Store results with day name as key
|
||||
# filename = os.path.basename(day)
|
||||
# all_results[filename] = {
|
||||
# "trades": pt_strategy.trades_.copy(),
|
||||
# "outstanding_positions": pt_strategy.outstanding_positions_.copy(),
|
||||
# }
|
||||
|
||||
# print(f"Successfully processed {filename}")
|
||||
|
||||
results.calculate_returns()
|
||||
results.print_grand_totals()
|
||||
results.print_outstanding_positions()
|
||||
|
||||
if args.result_db.upper() != "NONE":
|
||||
print(f"\nResults stored in database: {args.result_db}")
|
||||
else:
|
||||
print("No results to display.")
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
||||
main()
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user